- Bitcoin sentiment drops to 46.1% as market shows hesitation despite price rebound.
- Trading volume remains flat, weakening support for BTC’s move above $105K.
- Sentiment must exceed 60% with rising open interest to avoid retest of $102K support level.
According to the latest Advanced Sentiment Index data, Bitcoin sentiment has weakened despite the asset making a small recovery. As of June 13, the index recorded a reading of 46.1%, falling below the neutral 50% mark. This shift indicates a cautious market environment where investors remain hesitant to drive further gains without stronger confirmation signals. While Bitcoin has rebounded from recent lows, sentiment metrics and trading volume suggest limited conviction behind the price move.
Data from the Advanced Sentiment Index shows that market optimism peaked above 80% in early June but has steadily declined since. The chart, tracking activity from May 16 to June 13, shows that sentiment dropped below 20% on multiple occasions, including June 5 and June 13, both aligning with short-term declines in Bitcoin’s price. Although the asset has since bounced back from those levels, investor confidence remains subdued.
The bell curve model used in the chart emphasizes that the majority of sentiment readings have clustered between 40% and 65%, showing a lack of extreme bullish or bearish positions. This distribution suggests uncertainty, as traders hesitate to take strong directional bets.
Recent price action within the $103,000 -$105,000 area has, however, not been accompanied by new volume inflow as net buy volume and volume delta show almost no change. The stagnation of these indicators suggests that the market participants did not support the rise to a sufficient degree.
Price Volatility Contains Within Narrow Range
According to CoinMarketCap, Bitcoin was trading at $104,950.96 at the time of writing, reflecting a 0.31% decrease over the past 24 hours. The price surged above $106,000 but faced resistance and returned to a tighter trading band. A major dip occurred around 6 PM on June 13, followed by a rebound during the early hours of June 14. Despite these fluctuations, the asset has not broken out of its recent consolidation pattern.
The volume-to-market cap ratio over the last 24 hours is 2.38%, which indicates moderate trade. The total circulating supply of bitcoin has now grown to 19.87 million BTC and is getting ever closer to the protocol-imposed limit of 21 million. Despite the stability seen in price action, analysts are monitoring bigger signs before calling a directional change.
According to analysts, the sentiment index needs to exceed 6065 percent to validate a sustainable uptrend. An increase in open interest and net taker volume is unlikely to achieve that level. In the absence of those conditions, the market is vulnerable to retesting lower support areas between $102,000 and $103,000.
