- The UK heading towards a point of no return
- Three different scenarios are likely
- If all fails, PM May could call for immediate general elections
British Prime Minister faces another dramatic week in her premiership as parliament and the executive try to break the Brexit impasse. MPs will decide the future of the United Kingdom as the country hurtles towards the no-return point.
The decision by MPs to take over the Brexit process from the Prime Minister last week and the third time defeat last Friday to secure a deal, you can expect the MPs to use their new-found power to control the House of Commons. The MPs will hold a series of votes to decide on alternatives to Theresa May’s plan via a system known as Indicative Votes. Sources close to the Prime Minister have revealed that Mrs. May told The Times publication the day of reckoning was finally here. She reportedly stated:
“We are finally at the point of no return. This is the moment of choice.”
Custom Union Deal
According to The News publication, the customs union plan has better chances of seeing the light of day since it has received cross-party support. Unfortunately, the plan hasn’t gone well with pro-Brexit MPs since it means that the UK cannot be allowed to strike its free trade deals, which happens to be one of the main reasons most Britons support the Brexit in the first place.
Should it go through, it would, however, mean no customs checks and therefore remove the problem of how to deal with the border between Ireland and Northern Ireland which has complicated the entire process. Unfortunately, the customs union model suggested by MPs implies a softer Brexit as opposed the PMs harder divorce and this could trigger a series of resignations.
Reintroduce a Withdrawal Agreement
There are also chances that Mrs. May could reintroduce her Withdrawal Agreement to the House of Commons a record fourth time even though she may have to renegotiate with the Speaker since he has previously ruled it cannot be allowed back until it undergoes some substantial changes. Another alternative would be to try and pit it against last Friday’s vote, but they must focus on the 58 rebels who rejected it. MP May told News UK:
“If the customs union is backed by the Commons and Eurosceptics have to face the double jeopardy of that and the EU elections, we hope they will come around.”
If nothing major takes place, there are chances we could see the Prime Minister calling for a general election in the middle of the week, which is something Mrs. May had alluded to last week when her deal was rejected, making it the third election in the last four years. She told MPs:
“I fear we are reaching the limits of the Brexit process in this House […] this House has rejected no deal. It has rejected no Brexit. On Wednesday it rejected all the variations of the deal on the table, and today it has rejected approving the Withdrawal Agreement alone and continuing a process on the future.”