- 1. XRP Price Today: $1.17, Absorbing FOMC Hawkishness
- 2. The CLARITY Act: Where It Stands Right Now
- 3. The Supply Story: Exchange Reserves at 7-Year Lows
- 4. RLUSD and ODL: The Utility Case Strengthening Independently
- 5. Price Scenarios: What CLARITY Act Means in Dollar Terms
- 6. ETF Flows: $1.44 Billion, UBS and Bank of America Positioned
- 7. Where to Buy XRP
Quick Answer: XRP is trading at $1.17 on June 18, 2026, down 2.52% as the post-FOMC selloff continues. The defining XRP news this week is legislative: the CLARITY Act cleared the Senate Banking Committee 15-9 in May and has been placed on the Senate floor legislative calendar on June 1 — meaning a full Senate vote can happen at any time. Polymarket prices 2026 passage at 72%. If the bill passes before the July 4 target set by the White House, XRP’s digital commodity status becomes permanent federal law — a classification that no future administration can reverse with a memo. Standard Chartered and JPMorgan both project $4–8 billion in XRP ETF inflows under that scenario, three to six times the $1.44 billion accumulated to date. XRP exchange reserves have fallen to a 7-year low of 1.6 billion tokens. Whale wallets holding 10M+ XRP now control 68.5% of circulating supply — the highest concentration since May 2018.
Key Takeaways
- CLARITY Act is on the Senate floor legislative calendar — a full Senate vote can now happen at any time, with the White House targeting July 4 signing
- The bill cleared Senate Banking Committee 15-9 in May, with all 13 Republicans voting yes after Sen. John Kennedy committed his support — the bipartisan vote was cleaner than feared
- XRP exchange reserves at a 7-year low of 1.6 billion tokens — 50% below the October 2025 peak of 3.76 billion, compressing available sell-side liquidity to multi-year lows
- RLUSD reached $1.7B market cap, ranking as the 8th-largest stablecoin globally — Mastercard added RLUSD to its 24/7 settlement network on June 3; Ripple is pursuing a Federal Reserve master account
- Post-FOMC pressure is the dominant short-term headwind: hawkish dot plot (9 Fed members projecting hike) outweighs XRP-specific positives in the near term — but the structural setup has rarely been this clean
XRP Price Today: $1.17, Absorbing FOMC Hawkishness
XRP is at $1.17 on June 18, down 2.52% with a market cap of $73.02 billion and 24-hour volume of $1.91 billion — up 14%. Of the 100 billion maximum supply, 62.05 billion circulate across 535,830 holders. Fully diluted valuation is $117.68 billion.
Today’s move is entirely macro-driven. Yesterday’s FOMC dot plot — 9 of 18 members projecting a rate hike by year-end, PCE revised to 3.6% — reset rate expectations across all risk assets. XRP is not immune to that. But what separates XRP from most assets in the current environment is the independence of its primary catalyst: the CLARITY Act moves on legislative, not monetary, logic.
The SEC case against Ripple concluded in August 2025 with a joint dismissal of appeals, confirming XRP is not a security when sold on public exchanges. Ripple paid a reduced $50 million penalty with $75 million returned as part of the settlement. Both the SEC and CFTC currently view XRP as a digital commodity, but that classification has not been written into law. An executive agency classification can be reversed by the next administration with a memo. A statute cannot. The CLARITY Act changes that permanently.
Key levels:
- Resistance: $1.20 (psychological), then $1.28–$1.30 (June 15 high)
- Support: $1.10 (critical), then $1.00 (psychological floor)
The CLARITY Act: Where It Stands Right Now
The CLARITY Act was officially added to the Senate legislative calendar on June 1, after clearing the Senate Banking Committee. The next step is a full Senate vote, after which it will be sent to President Trump for signing.
The CLARITY Act passed the House 294 to 134 and cleared the Senate Banking Committee 15 to 9. The Senate floor vote is the decisive gate. The bill needs 60 votes to clear the filibuster — meaning at least 7 Democrats must cross over. The committee vote passed 15-9 with some bipartisan support, which is the baseline Democrats need to replicate on the floor.
Why 60 votes matters: The Senate has 53 Republicans. A 60-vote threshold requires 7 Democrats. The senators to watch are Warner and Cortez Masto — those votes are the hardest part of getting to 60. The Reed stablecoin amendment that nearly derailed the committee markup was defeated, keeping the bipartisan compromise language intact — a positive signal for floor vote prospects.
Prediction markets have priced 2026 signing odds around 72%. The White House has set a July 4 signing target. Senate floor time between now and July 4 is limited — the bill needs to be scheduled and voted before the Independence Day recess.
What passage does for XRP specifically: A clear commodity classification removes listing hesitancy. Exchanges that stayed cautious during the legal fight could deepen XRP support, tightening spreads and improving liquidity. Institutions need regulatory certainty before allocating. Clear rules strengthen the case for more XRP ETF products and larger inflows, building on the spot ETFs already live.
The Supply Story: Exchange Reserves at 7-Year Lows
XRP exchange reserves fell to a 7-year low of 1.6 billion tokens this year, a 50% drop from October 2025’s 3.76 billion peak, compressing sell-side liquidity to multi-year lows.
This is one of the most consequential structural developments for XRP’s price setup. When exchange reserves fall this sharply, the coins leaving exchanges are going to private custody — not being sold. The implication: the supply available for large sell orders on exchanges is structurally thinner than at any point in seven years.
The number of wallets holding 10,000 or more XRP has hit an all-time high of 332,230. The millionaire tier — wallets holding over one million XRP — added 42 new addresses since January and accumulated 1.2 billion tokens in Q1 alone, the heaviest quarterly accumulation since 2023. Mega whale wallets holding 10 million or more XRP now control approximately 45.83 billion tokens, representing 68.5% of circulating supply — the highest concentration since May 2018.
The mechanism: when 68.5% of supply is controlled by conviction holders who are actively accumulating, and exchange reserves are at 7-year lows, even moderate institutional buying pressure produces outsized price moves. The float is thin. The buyers are patient. The catalyst — CLARITY Act — is binary and approaching.
RLUSD and ODL: The Utility Case Strengthening Independently
While the CLARITY Act is the legislative catalyst, Ripple’s on-chain infrastructure has been strengthening independently in June 2026.
RLUSD has grown to approximately $1.7 billion in market cap, ranking as the eighth-largest stablecoin globally and live across more than 40 networks. On June 3, Mastercard added RLUSD to its 24/7 on-chain settlement network alongside USDC and PYUSD.
Ripple is also pursuing a Federal Reserve master account, a process currently paused until end of 2026. A Fed master account would allow Ripple to settle transactions directly with the Federal Reserve’s payment system — removing commercial bank intermediaries and dramatically reducing the cost of ODL corridor transactions. It is potentially the most significant operational milestone in Ripple’s history, but it is a 2027 story at the earliest.
Ripple, JPMorgan, Mastercard, and Ondo Finance completed a live cross-border tokenized US Treasury settlement on the XRP Ledger that finalized in under five seconds. This is not speculative — it is a completed transaction by the largest financial institutions in the world, settling real assets on Ripple’s infrastructure. The XRPL’s real-world asset capabilities are being validated in production, not just theory.
Price Scenarios: What CLARITY Act Means in Dollar Terms
From around $1.17 where XRP trades now, the key scenarios are: a failed Senate vote points back toward the $0.80–$1.00 range; passage near the recess supports a re-rating to $1.60–$2.20; and passage plus renewed ETF inflows and a softer Fed opens up the $2.50–$3.50 price range.
Standard Chartered projected $4 billion to $8 billion in cumulative XRP ETF inflows by year-end if the bill passes. With flows of such volume, XRP would most likely break the current resistance, retest its 200-day moving average at $1.80, and have the runway to push toward higher targets like $3–5 by late 2026.
The bear case: If Tim Scott doesn’t schedule the markup before Memorial Day recess on May 21, or if the markup happens but Republicans can’t unify the committee vote, the bill will most likely be shelved until 2030. That deadline has now passed — the committee vote cleared 15-9. The next hard deadline is the July 4 recess. If the Senate floor vote does not happen before July 4, the next viable legislative window is after the November 2026 midterms.
For context on the current macro environment affecting all crypto assets, see our daily market update for June 18.
ETF Flows: $1.44 Billion, UBS and Bank of America Positioned
US spot XRP ETFs have accumulated $1.44 billion in cumulative net inflows since their November 2025 launch across seven products. May 2026 was the strongest single month with $132 million. UBS and Bank of America took first-time XRP ETF stakes in May — the first tier-1 global banks to allocate directly to XRP products. Goldman Sachs allocated $154 million in Q1 2026.
Some of that CLARITY Act move may already be in the price, because the market has watched this bill advance for months. So the real question is not whether clarity helps XRP, but how much of the waiting money actually moves once the bill is law, and how much already has.
The honest assessment: the ETF bid is real and growing. The question of how much is already priced is legitimate. What is not priced is the pension fund and sovereign wealth fund allocation tier — those institutional buyers legally cannot allocate under agency guidance. They need a statute. The CLARITY Act is that statute.
Track real-time XRP ETF flows at SoSoValue.
Where to Buy XRP
Binance — world’s largest exchange by volume, deep XRP/USDT liquidity, RLUSD trading pairs available.
Coinbase — US-regulated, XRP available for spot purchase with insured custody.
Kraken — established 2011, competitive XRP fees and strong security record.
KuCoin — wide XRP trading pairs, access to XRP ecosystem tokens.
Gate.io — RLUSD listed here alongside XRP, natural venue for XRP/RLUSD strategies.
OKX — advanced XRP derivatives, competitive funding rates.
This article does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency markets are volatile. Always conduct independent research before making investment decisions.
